In the second leg of the Champions League quarter-final, Real Madrid face Chelsea at Stamford Bridge with a 2-0 lead over the blues. Will Chelsea be able to make up the deficit or will the blancos run riot overseas? Read on for our betting tips and predictions.
Chelsea vs Real Madrid – Stats & Facts
- Chelsea have lost two of their last three European games against Real Madrid (WI), both in the quarterfinals of the UEFA Champions League over the last two seasons. Prior to this, they had not lost any of their previous five matches against them (W3 D2).
- In the last two seasons, Chelsea’s only home UEFA Champions League loss occurred in April 2022 against Real Madrid (W7 DI). No visiting team has ever won two Champions League encounters against the Blues at Stamford Bridge.
- Chelsea was defeated 2-0 by Real Madrid in the first leg of this match. The Blues, on the other hand, have advanced from five of their last seven UEFA Champions League matches in which they lost the first leg away from home, and each of their last two when losing by two distinct goals (against Napoli in 2011-12 and Paris Saint-Germain in 2013-14).
- Only in 2003-04 against Monaco (4-2 first leg, 1-3 second leg, eliminated on away goals rule) did Real Madrid fail to advance after winning the first leg by two or more goals.
- In this season’s UEFA Champions League round of 16, despite losing the first leg against Borussia Dortmund, Chelsea advanced. Monaco in 2003-04 and Roma in 2017-18 are the only teams to have reached the semi-finals after overcoming first-leg deficits in both the last 16 and quarter-final in the same season since the last 16 was introduced in 2003-04.
Chelsea vs Real Madrid- Squad Lists
Here are the players that both Frank Lampard and Carlo Ancelotti have at their disposal for the second leg of this quarter-final at Stamford Bridge this Tuesday Afternoon.
Chelsea
Goalkeepers: Edouard Mendy, Kepa Arrizabalaga, Gabriel Slonina, Marcus Bettinelli
Defenders: Wesley Fofana, Benoit Badiashile, Kalidou Koulibaly, Trevoh Chalobah, Thiago Silva, Marc Cucurella, Ben Chilwel, Lewis Hall, Reece James, Cesar Azpilicueta
Midfielders: N’Golo Kante, Denis Zakaria, Enzo Fernandes, Mateo Kovacic, Conor Gallagher, Ruben Loftus-cheek, Carney Chukuwuemeka, Mason Mount
Strikers: Mykhalo Mudryk, Raheem Sterling, Christian Pulisic, Noni Madueke, Hakim Ziyech, Joao Felix, Armando Broja, David Datro Fofana, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Injuries/Out: Armando Broja, David Fofana, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Noni Madueke
Real Madrid
Goalkeepers: Thibaut Courtois, Andriy Lunin, Luis Lopez
Defenders: Eder Militao, David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Nacho Fernandez, Jesus Vallejo, Ferland Mendy, Daniel Carvajal, Lucas Vazquez, Alvaro Odrizola
Midfielders: Aurelien Tchouameni, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga, Toni Kroos, Dani Ceballos, Luka Modric
Strikers: Vinicius Junior, Eden Hazard, Rodrygo, Marco Asensio, Karim Benzema, Alvaro Rodriguez, Mariano Diaz
Injuries/Out: N/A
Bayern vs Manchester City – Recent Form
Here are the last five matches played by each team in all competitions.
Chelsea(LLLDL)
- 1-2 vs Brighton – Premier League
- 0-2 vs Real Madrid – Champions League
- 0-1 vs Wolves – Premier League
- 0-0 vs Liverpool – Premier League
- 0-2 vs Aston Villa
Chelsea has had a terrible streak of losses in it’s last five games losing to sides of typically much lower quality comparing other seasons. A 0-1 defeat to Wolves and 0-2 to Aston Villa really shows that this Chelsea side struggles to win against weak opponents. They’ve also only scored once in their last five games which is an astonishing result for such a big club.
Real Madrid(WWLWW)
- 2-0 vs Cadiz – La Liga
- 2-0 vs Chelsea – Champions League
- 2-3 vs Villareal – La Liga
- 4-0 vs Barcelona – Copa del Rey
- 6-0 vs Real Valladolid
Real Madrid looks to be in tremendous form from top to bottom with an impressive strike force scoring 16 goals in 5 games. This is quite the achievement when you consider they beat La Liga number two Barcelona by a staggering 4 goals. Meanwhile, Chelsea struggle against just about any team nevermind a strong one. They were just about able to edge out a draw against Liverpool who are 8th in the league.
BTTS Market
Last match, Real Madrid absolutely dominated Chelsea and the Blues didn’t score a single goal in a 2-0 loss. I don’t think anything will change for them as they’ve been performing terribly no matter where they play; unlike for example Liverpool who have an almost electric advantage in home games at Anfield. I don’t think we’ll see both teams score as a repeated thrashing by Real Madrid is handed out.
BTTS Verdict: No
Over/Under Market
Taking a look at Chelsea’s form, I don’t count it unlikely that the scoreline is exceeded this time from 2-0 to 3-0. Maybe Chelsea will manage to bleed themselves dry and score one goal on top but I think it’s unlikely. Over 2.5 would be a safe and sensible bet for this matchup.
Over/Under Verdict: Over 2.5
Overall Verdict
I think that overall, Real Madrid will advance to the semi-finals because of their raw goalscoring ability in situations where it’s required. They look confident and fierce, Chelsea will lose the match and Real Madrid will advance.
