Liverpool, who are currently 8th in the Premier League, are set to face Leeds at Elland Road, where they seem to have a massive home advantage. Read on to hear our betting tips & predictions for this matchup.
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Liverpool vs Leeds Stats & Facts
- Leeds United are seeking only their second Premier League double over Liverpool, having accomplished the feat previously in the 2000-2001 season under David O’Leary.
- Liverpool have not lost in their last five league visits to Elland Road against Leeds (W3 D2) since Mark Viduka scored all four goals in a 4-3 defeat in November 2000.
Leeds have conceded ten goals in their first three Premier League encounters in April (WI L2), more than any other team. Since recording consecutive shutouts against Watford and Crystal Palace in April, the Whites have maintained only five clean sheets in their last 35 league games.
- This season, Liverpool are averaging 0.87 points per away game in the Premier League (13 pts in 15 away games), their lowest mark in a season since 1992-93 (0.76 — 16 pts in 21 games). The Reds have scored 14 of 21.6 expected goals on the road this season (a difference of -7.6 xG), and their 0.93 away goals-per-game average is the lowest in Premier League history.
- Leeds had seven shots on target in the first half of their 5-1 loss to Crystal Palace, the most Opta has recorded for the Whites in the first half of a league game since 2013-14. In the second half, the Whites had only one shot, none of which were on target.
Liverpool vs Leeds Squadlists
Here are the players available to both Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp and Javi Gracia in this Premier League meeting at Elland Road.
Goalkeepers: Alisson, Caoimhin Kelleher, Adri
Defenders: Virgil van Dijk, Ibrahima Konaté, Joe Gomez, Joel Matip, Nathaniel Phillips, Rhys Williams, Andrew Robertson, Konstantinos Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Calvin Ramsay
Midfielders: Fabinho, Stefan Bajcetic, Thiago, Naby Keita, Curtis Jones, Arthur Melo, Jordan Henderson, Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, James Milner, Harvey Elliott, Fabio Carvalho
Strikers: Luis Diaz, Cody Gakpo, Diogo Jota, Mohamed Salah, Darwin Núñez, Roberto Firmino
Leeds Squad list:
Goalkeepers: Illan Meslier, Kristoffer Klaesson, Joel Robles
Defenders: Robin Koch, Maximilian Wöber, Liam Cooper, Pascal Struijk, Junior Firpo, Rasmus Kristensen, Luke Ayling, Stuart Dallas
Midfielders: Tyler Adams, Marc Roca, Weston McKennie, Adam Forshaw, Brenden Aaronson, Sam Greenwood
Strikers: Jack Harrison, Luis Sinisterra, Wilfried Gnonto, Crysencio Summerville, Georginio Rutter, Patrick Bamford, Rodrigo
Liverpool vs Leeds Recent Performances
Here are the recent performances for these two clubs in all competitions
- 2-2 vs Arsenal – Premier League
- 0-0 vs Chelsea – Premier League
- 1-4 vs Manchester City – Premier League
- 0-1 vs Real Madrid – Champions League
- 0-1 vs Bournemouth – Premier League
- 1-5 vs Crystal Palace – Premier League
- 2-1 vs Nottingham Forest – Premier League
- 1-4 vs Arsenal – Premier League
- 4-2 vs Wolves – Premier League
- 2-2 vs Brighton – Premier League
As you can see, Liverpool have been on a hot streak of bad performances and so has Leeds, except their 4-2 win over Wolves. Liverpool drew against top of the league Arsenal which shows how powerful their home advantage is at Anfield; the game was chaotic, but the reds recovered from a 2-0 scoreline to draw.
BTTS Betting Market
In three of Liverpool’s last five games, both teams haven’t scored, albeit against strong opponents Real Madrid and Chelsea, Bournemouth being the sole exception to this rule. Leeds, on the other hand has seen both sides score in 5/5 of their most recent matches. I personally think that Liverpool’s weakness compared with the fact that Leeds seems to always see both sides score, I think that both sides will score.
BTTS Verdict: Yes
The number one driving statistic that informs my decision regarding this verdict is that Leeds has an astonishing streak of 17 matches without a clean sheet against Liverpool specifically. Something about the Liverpool offence is the kryptonite of Leeds’ defence; they can’t seem to stop them.
Over/Under Verdict: Over 2.5
Despite their recent bad form in both the Premier League and Champions League, I think Liverpool will win this match despite not playing at home.
Overall Verdict: Liverpool Winner